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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally as Fed rate-hike expectations fade, tech gains
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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally as Fed rate-hike expectations fade, tech gains

US stocks surged as new payroll data for September showed that the US economy added far fewer jobs than Wall Street had expected. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.5%, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained 0.7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) surged 1.2% after touching an intraday record high during the session. The

US stocks surged as new payroll data for September showed that the US economy added far fewer jobs than Wall Street had expected.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.5%, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained 0.7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) surged 1.2% after touching an intraday record high during the session.

The Nasdaq ended the week in green territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 posted weekly losses.

Treasury yields initially fell following the jobs report, but then rose again. The 10-year Treasury (^TNX) moved to 5.28% while the 30-year yield (^TYX) hovered near 5.63%.

7,722.72 +56.27 (+0.73%)

At close: October 2 at 4:59:13 PM EDT

^GSPC ^IXIC ^DJI

The US added just 29,000 jobs in September, short of economists’ expectations of 90,000. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2%, according to Labor Department data released Friday. Economists had expected it to remain steady at 4.1%.

The data could play a role in the Fed’s decision on whether to hike interest rates at its next meeting. Following the report, bond traders rushed to pare back bets of a Fed hike in October, seeing a 16% chance of a rate hike compared to 64% odds priced a week ago.

Fed officials, in recent days, have argued that the central bank has time to assess inflation data before moving, though they agree that inflation remains too high.

The ongoing war in the Middle East, now entering its eighth month, has driven much of the inflationary pressures. President Trump has said he’s considering resuming bombing Iran after the midterm elections, but has also said he’s looking for a resolution of the war at that time. On Thursday, the US reportedly sent an additional aircraft carrier and 10,000 sailors and Marines to the Persian Gulf, Bloomberg reported.

Brent crude futures (BZ=F), the global benchmark, rose slightly to near $102 per barrel.

LIVE COVERAGE IS OVER 16 updates

  • Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as tech rallies after weak jobs report

    US stocks jumped on Friday, led by tech stocks, after a weaker-than-expected jobs report cemented expectations that the Fed will remain on hold at the October policy meeting.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.5%, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) gained by 0.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 1.2%, just a stone’s throw away from a record high.

    The Nasdaq ended the week with gains, while the Dow and S&P 500 saw weekly losses.

    7,722.72 +56.27 (+0.73%)

    At close: October 2 at 4:59:13 PM EDT

    AI hardware giant Nvidia (NVDA) briefly touched an intraday high on Friday, helping lead the tech sector higher.

    Bond yields eased following the September jobs report, easing concerns of another Fed rate hike later this month.

  • Inflation has been eating up wage gains for months. September was no different.

    Yahoo Finance’s Molly Moorhead reports:

    September’s jobs report extended a trend that illustrates consumers’ widespread pain: Their pay is not keeping pace with inflation.

    Average hourly earnings rose an anemic 0.1% month over month and are up 3% year over year, new Labor Department data shows. That’s against a backdrop of inflation data, which showed, most recently, prices growing at a 3.4% rate as of August.

    The inversion, when inflation overtook pay growth, happened this spring.

    Read more here.

  • Ines Ferré

    White House top economist doesn’t expect more rate hikes this year after September jobs miss

    Yahoo Finance’s Jennifer Schonberger reports:

    Chris Phelan, chair of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers, doesn’t expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again following Friday’s employment report and this week’s cooler inflation data.

    Phelan pointed to a subdued reading on the job market from September, coupled with comments this week from two Fed officials that tamped down expectations for an October rate hike.

    “I think with today’s job market data, and a speech by the [Fed] vice chairman, I think the market is now no longer expecting another rate hike,” Phelan told Yahoo Finance in an interview Friday.

    Read more here.

  • Bitcoin tops $85,000 on fading expectations of Fed rate hike

    Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose to hover above $85,000 while ether (ETH-USD) also gained on Friday.

    The move came as investors dialed down expectations of a Fed rate hike this month following the release of a weaker than expected jobs report.

    October is seasonally positive for crypto, with Fundstrat’s head of digital assets, Sean Farrell, saying “the setup shifted in a bullish direction the past couple of days.”

    Farrell noted that Fed rhetoric has become somewhat more measured, and front-end bond yields are finally moving lower.

    “Seasonality is also becoming a tailwind. October has historically been crypto’s strongest month, with the highest median and average returns and an ~80% win rate,” said Farrell.

  • G7 nations announce plan to release 100 million barrels of crude oil and diesel to the market in response to White House pressure

    The G7 countries will release 100 million barrels of crude oil and diesel onto the open market, spurred by pressure from the Trump administration to open their stocks and potentially alleviate global diesel price pressures.

    The release of crude and diesel stores, set to be coordinated by the IEA, will take place over four months, led by a “substantial diesel release” within 20 days from the G7 members and the bloc’s partners. The releases were first announced by French president Emmanuel Macron.

    “Facing unprecedented volatility in oil markets … we have agreed on decisive, coordinated measures to stabilize immediate energy supplies, shield households and business from price shocks, and strengthen the long-term resilience of global energy systems,” the G7 said in a statement.

    G7 leaders held talks on October 2, 2026, to coordinate action on tackling high fuel prices, after Washington upped pressure on Europe to release its strategic reserves or face a US diesel export ban. LUDOVIC MARIN/Pool via REUTERS · via REUTERS / REUTERS

    The announcement comes after several days of pressure from the Trump White House for European nations to release oil products from their national reserves, with the goal being to relieve pressure on global diesel prices. In the US, diesel prices have surged upward, averaging $6.37 nationally on Friday, just weeks ahead of critical midterm elections.

    In their statement, the G7 nations noted their “commitment to refrain from export restrictions on energy and energy products between G7 countries” and called on “all producers to refrain from imposing bans that could exacerbate market tensions.

    President Trump has expressed support for a potential export ban on diesel from the US, which has become a critical source of the fuel for global buyers, including Europe. The president threatened in recent days to impose such a ban if the European nations didn’t agree to a release from their own stores.

  • Pras Subramanian

    Tesla stock rises as company reports Q3 deliveries that top analyst estimates

    Tesla (TSLA) reported third quarter delivery numbers that topped analyst estimates, just as the EV-maker delayed its Roadster launch, but began volume production of Tesla Semi.

    Tesla reported Q3 deliveries of 486,532 vs. 463,000 estimated by Bloomberg consensus, down sequentially from Q2 and a 2% drop from a year ago. The company also said it produced 464,391 vehicles in Q3.

    Shares were up roughly 4% in early trade on Friday.

    Read more.

  • Paramount to become Skydance after megamerger with Warner Bros. closes

    Yahoo Finance’s Michael Kelley reports:

    The studios and digital media juggernaut arising from the $110 billion merger of Paramount (PSKY) and Warner Bros. (WBD) now has a name: Skydance.

    “We chose this name for a few important reasons,” Paramount CEO David Ellison posted on X. “First and foremost, as we bring Paramount and Warner Bros. together, we wanted to preserve what has made each of these studios iconic. Both have distinct identities, extraordinary legacies and brands that have resonated with audiences for generations. We never wanted a new corporate identity to diminish, alter or overshadow either one.”

    Ellison, son of Oracle (ORCL) co-founder Larry Ellison, added that the company “wanted a name that would give the combined company an identity of its own.”

    Skydance is the name of the production company that the younger Ellison founded in 2006 and merged with Paramount in 2025.

    Read more.

  • Nvidia stock gains over 2%, hits intraday record high

    AI hardware giant Nvidia (NVDA) started the morning off strong with a 2.5% gain and an intraday record high price of $237.87 per share.

    The world’s largest company now has a market cap of $5.72 trillion, according to Yahoo Finance data. It has been one of — if not the — biggest beneficiary of the artificial intelligence infrastructure build-out.

    Read more.

  • David Hollerith

    September jobs ‘going to put the Fed definitely on hold for October,’ Wharton’s El-Erian says

    Jennifer Schonberger reports:

    A weak September jobs report is likely to keep the Federal Reserve on hold later this month, even as Fed officials are still likely to view the job market as balanced at full employment and keep their focus squarely on bringing inflation down.

    The economy added 29,000 jobs in September, falling far short of the 88,000 expected and down from a revised 133,000 in August. The unemployment rate edged up to 4.2% from 4.1%.

    September’s report is “going to put the Fed definitely on hold for October,” Mohamed El-Erian, professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School and former CEO of PIMCO, told Yahoo Finance.

    Read More.

  • David Hollerith

    Nasdaq leads US stocks higher after cool jobs print

    US stocks opened higher on Friday, led by tech stocks, after Labor Department data showed a cooler-than-expected jobs market that broadly held up in September, easing pressure on the Fed to raise rates further later this month.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.5%, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose by 0.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 1.2%. 

    51,176.96 +250.40 (+0.49%)

    At close: October 2 at 5:00:17 PM EDT

    ^DJI ^GSPC ^IXIC

    The US economy added 29,000 jobs in September, with unemployment rising to 4.2%, according to the Labor Department’s Friday release. The figure, which was far less than the 85,000 economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected, comes after a surprisingly large number of jobs were created in August. 

    The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) moved lower to 5.18% following the jobs report. The 30-year yield (^TYX) dropped to 5.57%.

    Investors are seeing the cooler-than-expected report as supporting the case that the Federal Reserve may not need to raise interest rates at its upcoming October policy meeting.

  • David Hollerith

    US added 29,000 jobs as September labor market cooled

    Fresh jobs data released Friday showed the US labor market unexpectedly cooled in September.

    The US economy added 29,000 jobs in September, with unemployment rising to 4.2%, according to the Labor Department’s Friday release. The print, which was about 55,000 less than economists expected, follows a surprisingly large number of jobs created in August. 

    The lower but still positive monthly job creation numbers reinforce that the market is moving back toward the ‘low hire, low fire” environment that has defined much of the past two years. It may also signal that the Federal Reserve has time to wait on its interest rate hiking campaign.

  • Claire Boston

    September’s jobs report is expected to show a labor market that’s holding steady

    Key jobs data due out Friday is expected to show a job market that’s broadly holding up, even though a repeat of August’s blockbuster figures is unlikely.

    Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the latest Labor Department data to show that the US added 85,000 jobs in September, far below August’s surprisingly large gain of 162,000 roles. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.1% for a third straight month.

    A return to lower but still positive job creation would bring the market back in line with the “low hire, low fire” environment that has defined much of the past two years. It would also be a sign that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hiking plans haven’t stalled hiring.

    Read more.

  • Nike earnings weigh on sportswear brand stocks for Lululemon, On, and Hoka

    Nike’s (NKE) rough quarter — as detailed in Ines’s post below — is weighing on shares of other footwear brands.

    Shares of Nike rivals Lululemon (LULU), On (ONON), and Hoka maker Deckers Outdoor (DECK) all dropped fractionally in premarket trading on Friday while the major indexes were in the green.

    As Yahoo Finance’s Brian Sozzi reports, Nike CEO Elliott Hill’s comments on the earnings call yesterday afternoon indicated that the weak sportswear market will continue in the medium term, which could pressure the whole sector to discount products.

    Read more.

  • Ines Ferré

    Nike stock sinks as revenue misses estimates, expects to cut jobs

    Nike (NKE) stock fell as much as 6% in after-hours trading on Thursday after posting its fiscal first quarter results and announcing operational changes, which will include layoffs.

    Nike posted fiscal first quarter revenue of $11.21 billion, versus consensus estimates of $11.33 billion. That represented a 4% decline from the year-earlier period.

    Earnings per share came in at $0.48, down from $0.49 a year ago.

    The company said revenues are expected to decline in the high single digits in fiscal 2027. Nike’s gross margin, however, expanded 60 basis points to 42.8%.

    The company also announced operational changes in order to reduce costs and operate more efficiently.

    “This work will result in fewer roles across Nike, and I want to acknowledge that news like this creates uncertainty. I don’t take that lightly,” wrote CEO Elliott Hill in a letter to employees.

    Read more.

  • Good morning. Here’s what’s happening today.

    Economic data: Change in nonfarm payrolls, September (+100,000 expected, +162,000 previously); Change in private payrolls, September (+90,000 expected, +127,000 previously); Change in manufacturing payrolls, September (+10,000 expected, +16,000 previously); Average hourly earnings, month-on-month, September (+0.3% expected, +0.3% previously); Average hourly earnings, year-on-year, September (+3.2% expected, +3.1% previously); Unemployment rate, September (4.1% expected, 4.1% previously); Labor force participation rate, September (61.6% previously); Factory orders, August (-0.1% expected, +0.9% previously)

    Earnings calendar: Trilogy Metals (TMQ)

    Catch up on some top stories from overnight:

    Treasuries rebound raises stakes for job data as rate hikes loom

    Oil extends gain as Middle East conflict threatens to escalate

    Gold steadies as easing US bond yields reduce rate-hike bets

    Meta asked to pay up to $40B in penalties after data privacy trial

    Anthropic reportedly looking to IPO as early as mid-November

  • Gold steadies as easing US bond yields reduce rate-hike bets

    Bloomberg reports:

    Gold held a modest gain as US bond yields softened and Federal Reserve officials signaled they needed more time to weigh their next move on interest rates, even as a possible escalation in the Middle East kept energy costs elevated.

    Bullion traded around $4,180 an ounce, holding a 0.5% rise from the previous session, but was on track to end the week around 2% lower. US Treasury yields eased across the curve on Thursday — with the 10-year retreating from a 24-year high — as concerns over France’s fiscal outlook fueled demand for safe-haven assets. Higher yields are typically a headwind for bullion, which doesn’t pay interest, and helped drive its 6% decline in September.

    Read more.

Source: finance.yahoo.com

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