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Lula Leads Bolsonaro by 3 Points in Brazil Runoff Scenario, Datafolha Poll Shows
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Lula Leads Bolsonaro by 3 Points in Brazil Runoff Scenario, Datafolha Poll Shows

SAO PAULO, Oct 1 (Reuters) – ⁠Brazilian ⁠President Luiz Inacio ⁠Lula da Silva leads Senator ​Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a ‌potential runoff ahead of ‌this month’s election, a Datafolha ⁠poll ⁠showed on Thursday. In a simulated runoff, Lula would ​receive 48% of the vote compared with 45% for Bolsonaro, the eldest son of

SAO PAULO, Oct 1 (Reuters) – ⁠Brazilian ⁠President Luiz Inacio ⁠Lula da Silva leads Senator ​Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a ‌potential runoff ahead of ‌this month’s election, a Datafolha ⁠poll ⁠showed on Thursday.

In a simulated runoff, Lula would ​receive 48% of the vote compared with 45% for Bolsonaro, the eldest son of ​former President Jair Bolsonaro. A previous Datafolha ⁠poll ⁠had Lula leading Bolsonaro ⁠by ​47% to 45%.

• The result still represents a ​technical tie ⁠as the poll’s margin of error is 2 percentage points

• In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 42% ⁠of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (38%), Augusto Cury (4%), Ronaldo ⁠Caiado (3%) and Renan Santos (3%)

• The previous Datafolha poll showed the leftist president with 40% against the right-wing senator’s 36%

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round on Sunday, ⁠the two frontrunners advance to a runoff set for October 25

• Datafolha surveyed 2,506 people between September 29 and ​October 1

(Reporting by Andre Romani; ​Editing by Fernando Cardoso)

Copyright 2026 Thomson Reuters.

Source: www.usnews.com

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