About 25,000 migrants from Africa and Asia cross into Italy and Greece through Russia-backed eastern Libya and Tunisia, but EU appears to have a plan

Nearly 25,000 migrants reached Italy and the Greek island of Crete during the first six months of 2026, according to figures published by migration monitoring organisation Alarm Phone.

Of those, approximately 15,800 arrived in Italy from Libya and Tunisia, while another 9,000 reached Crete from Libya, highlighting the growing importance of departures from eastern Libya.

Its internationally recognised government operates from Tripoli in the west, while Haftar’s forces control much of the east.

With more migrants travelling from eastern Libya towards Crete, Haftar’s control of the region has become important to European migration policy.

In August 2026, German magazine Der Spiegel and broadcaster Report Mainz cited internal European documents suggesting that Haftar’s family could be using migrant departures to pressure Brussels.

According to an internal German Foreign Ministry document cited in the investigation, the EU ambassador to Libya described migrants as “a means to an end and a business model” for Haftar’s family, amid rising departures towards the Greek island of Crete.

Figures published by the United Nations Refugee Agency (UNHCR) show that 19,562 migrants reached Italy by sea between January and August 2026, compared with 42,693 during the same period in 2025, representing a decline of approximately 54%.

Libya accounted for 81% of arrivals, equivalent to around 15,845 people, while Algeria and Tunisia accounted for 10% and 9%, respectively.

Despite the annual decline, arrivals increased in August, when 2,995 migrants reached Italy, up 37% from 2,179 in July.

Libya accounted for 84% of departures that month, while 69% of arrivals landed on the Italian island of Lampedusa.

During the eight-month period, Bangladeshis made up the largest share of arrivals at 27%, followed by Somalis (12%), Algerians (10%), Sudanese (8%), Eritreans and Egyptians (6% each), and Nigerians and Malians (2% each).

Rising departures towards Crete have prompted Brussels to strengthen migration cooperation with authorities in eastern Libya, despite formally recognising only the rival government in Tripoli.

In July 2026, the EU announced plans to establish a Maritime Rescue Coordination Centre in Benghazi, with financial support from Italy and Malta, to improve maritime surveillance and search-and-rescue operations.

Despite the decline in arrivals in Italy, the Mediterranean remains one of the world’s most dangerous migration routes.

Citing International Organization for Migration figures, UNHCR reported that 1,757 people died or went missing across Mediterranean routes between January and August 2026, excluding the north-west African route.

Of those, 938 deaths and disappearances occurred along the central Mediterranean route, compared with 835 during the same period in 2025.

Alarm Phone also documented distress alerts involving 280 boats during the first six months of 2026, down from 334 during the corresponding period in 2025.

The organisation raised concerns about interceptions by Libyan and Tunisian authorities, warning that migrants returned to Libya could face detention, exploitation and abuse.